There was no joy with any of todays tips – and in truth,
I was quite disappointed with how some of them performed…
Though not the worst, Neverushacon would probably fall
into that category – because I did quite fancy him.
Expectations are always raised a little when a horse is
well backed – and he was relatively strong in the market (around 8/1 at the off,
on BF)
He
took up a nice racing position, just behind the leader – and his hurdling was
fine.
However, when the race began in earnest, he had nothing
to offer and finished well beaten…
Having been backed early, Uncle Danny was quite weak in
the late market, at Limerick.
It always presents me with a dilemma, when a horse I fancy is backed before I can tip it.
It always presents me with a dilemma, when a horse I fancy is backed before I can tip it.
I
try to objectively assess the price at the point I can send out the tip, but
it’s difficult not to be influenced a little by market moves.
I
decided he still represented value at 12/1 – but he was bigger than that on BF
at the off.
And
he was much bigger still, after a couple of fences, as he was making mistakes
and at the back of the field.
His
race was effectively over at that point.
By
contrast, Fine Theatre was strong in the late market – eventually being sent off
at 9/2 joint favourite.
And
he ran pretty well – chasing the clear leader until running out of steam up the
home straight.
He
ultimately finished fourth, so was certainly not disgraced.
The
final tips on the day, ran in the Paddy Power chase.
Whilst I knew there was a doubt over the ground, when
Bonny Kate was allowed to take her chance, I was pretty sure she would run
well.
However, that was assuming she was allowed to run in her
usual manner – up with the pace.
But,
for some unfathomable reason, that didn’t happen.
Instead she was dropped out last – and it was obvious
after a couple of fences, that wasn’t going to work.
She
was pulled up not long after half way – and to be honest, she may as well not
have bothered turning up…
I
can’t be sure exactly what happened with Dromnea – other than he fell at around
half way.
Whilst General Principle still had a chance of placing
(though not winning) when he made a bad mistake at the final fence.
All
in all, it was a most disappointing race…
As
for the days Mentions:
Cyrname got an uncontested lead at Kempton – and made
Tommy Silver and Shantou Rock pay for it (The Unit was a non runner); whilst
Pilgrims Bay ran precisely the race I expected – appearing between the final 2
fences, but looking disinclined to go past the other eye catcher in the race,
Tintern Theatre.
Over
at Wetherby, Cyrus Darius was backed into short priced favouritism – but more
than met his match, in the shape of Just Cameron.
3 of
the 4 meetings scheduled for tomorrow, will need to pass early morning
inspections (because of the threat of frost).
My
only interest is in the meeting at Leopardstown – and if that is abandoned, I
won’t produce a write-up (or tip).
I’ll
advise on the situation, as early in the morning, as possible…
TVB.
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