You 
always need a bit of luck in this game – and we didn’t get any this 
afternoon…
I 
issued 2 tips on the day – and I think both were unfortunate.
Twenty Eight Guns misfortune was quite obvious, as she 
was brought down.
What 
made it particularly irritating, was that she was just getting back into the 
race, following a bad blunder.
The 
way the race fell part at the end, you have to think she would have been 
involved in the finish, as she had been given a patient ride.
Instead, it was Ms Parfois who benefited from the 
mid-race carnage.
I’d picked her out as the main danger - but there was no value in the early price…
I’d picked her out as the main danger - but there was no value in the early price…
The 
second tip on the day, was Shantou Bob.
His 
misfortune wasn’t quite so obvious – but I still think he was 
unlucky.
In 
his case, he was unlucky that the ground wasn’t riding as soft as he 
needs.
I 
actually thought he might get withdrawn – but I suspect connections fancied him 
and he was therefore allowed to take his chance.
He 
ran a fair race as well – in the leading group until getting outpaced going down 
the hill.
He 
lost his chance at that point – but was staying on strongly at the 
end.
I’m 
pretty confident that if the ground had been as soft as I expected, he would 
have gone very close.
He’s 
definitely one for next time – granted the right conditions – but that’s no good 
for today…
In 
terms of the mentions, then Summerville Boy was another who suffered because the 
ground wasn’t as soft as expected – and also because there was little pace in 
his race.
He 
too ran on late, to take third place, though he never looked like 
winning…
Sizing Tennessee won – even though his jumping was far 
from convincing.
He 
won’t get away with it every time – but he did today and had too much class for 
his rivals.
A 
bit like I Shot the Sheriff at Newbury, Okotoks travelled like a class horse – 
but didn’t find a lot when let down.
He 
may have needed the run, so I’d be inclined to reserve judgement until he’s been 
out again.
I’m 
happy to judge Southfield Theatre though – he’s one who should be left alone 
!
He shouldn’t have had an issue with the ground today – and he got an uncontested lead – but he just looked limited.
He shouldn’t have had an issue with the ground today – and he got an uncontested lead – but he just looked limited.
I do 
wonder how long he will stay in the Nichols stable…
Finally, Bless the Wing made me regret not taking a risk 
on him in the cross country chase.
As you probably gathered, I so nearly did. But I re-watched his most recent run at Fairyhouse, last night, and it was particularly poor.
As you probably gathered, I so nearly did. But I re-watched his most recent run at Fairyhouse, last night, and it was particularly poor.
I 
know that recent from can be irrelevant with Gordon Elliot horses (think of 
Outlander !) – but I still couldn’t bring myself to support him without having 
some idea on why he might perform better today.
And 
I paid the penalty for that. As he travelled sweetly throughout and was an easy 
winner.
If 
you took out his 2 runs this season, he would have been a 2/1 shot – I think I 
missed one there…
TVB.
 
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