You
always need a bit of luck in this game – and we didn’t get any this
afternoon…
I
issued 2 tips on the day – and I think both were unfortunate.
Twenty Eight Guns misfortune was quite obvious, as she
was brought down.
What
made it particularly irritating, was that she was just getting back into the
race, following a bad blunder.
The
way the race fell part at the end, you have to think she would have been
involved in the finish, as she had been given a patient ride.
Instead, it was Ms Parfois who benefited from the
mid-race carnage.
I’d picked her out as the main danger - but there was no value in the early price…
I’d picked her out as the main danger - but there was no value in the early price…
The
second tip on the day, was Shantou Bob.
His
misfortune wasn’t quite so obvious – but I still think he was
unlucky.
In
his case, he was unlucky that the ground wasn’t riding as soft as he
needs.
I
actually thought he might get withdrawn – but I suspect connections fancied him
and he was therefore allowed to take his chance.
He
ran a fair race as well – in the leading group until getting outpaced going down
the hill.
He
lost his chance at that point – but was staying on strongly at the
end.
I’m
pretty confident that if the ground had been as soft as I expected, he would
have gone very close.
He’s
definitely one for next time – granted the right conditions – but that’s no good
for today…
In
terms of the mentions, then Summerville Boy was another who suffered because the
ground wasn’t as soft as expected – and also because there was little pace in
his race.
He
too ran on late, to take third place, though he never looked like
winning…
Sizing Tennessee won – even though his jumping was far
from convincing.
He
won’t get away with it every time – but he did today and had too much class for
his rivals.
A
bit like I Shot the Sheriff at Newbury, Okotoks travelled like a class horse –
but didn’t find a lot when let down.
He
may have needed the run, so I’d be inclined to reserve judgement until he’s been
out again.
I’m
happy to judge Southfield Theatre though – he’s one who should be left alone
!
He shouldn’t have had an issue with the ground today – and he got an uncontested lead – but he just looked limited.
He shouldn’t have had an issue with the ground today – and he got an uncontested lead – but he just looked limited.
I do
wonder how long he will stay in the Nichols stable…
Finally, Bless the Wing made me regret not taking a risk
on him in the cross country chase.
As you probably gathered, I so nearly did. But I re-watched his most recent run at Fairyhouse, last night, and it was particularly poor.
As you probably gathered, I so nearly did. But I re-watched his most recent run at Fairyhouse, last night, and it was particularly poor.
I
know that recent from can be irrelevant with Gordon Elliot horses (think of
Outlander !) – but I still couldn’t bring myself to support him without having
some idea on why he might perform better today.
And
I paid the penalty for that. As he travelled sweetly throughout and was an easy
winner.
If
you took out his 2 runs this season, he would have been a 2/1 shot – I think I
missed one there…
TVB.
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