I
previewed 11 races today: spending around 6 hours on form study – and another 3
hours writing up my thoughts.
I
issued 7 tips across 5 of the races – and ended up with 0.25pt profit for my
efforts !
Well, I guess it could have been worse !
And
in truth, it could easily have been a lot worse…
It
wasn’t my original intention to tip Lil Rockerfeller (I’m too fond of the horse
to jinx him !) – but having written up my thoughts on his race, I wasn’t sure
how I could issue them without tipping him !
It
was therefore very pleasing to see his race unfold exactly as I
expected.
He
tracked the pace set by Wakae – went on rounding the home turn – and fended off
the late challenge of L’Ami Serge.
Arguably, he was given too much rope by his main rivals –
but the truth of the matter is that he’s not a horse you want to get in a battle
with, either.
He’s
a tough one to beat, however you play it – roll on March !
The
other 2 big bets on the day, didn’t do quite so well…
Russe Blanc managed to unship Dickie Johnson at around
half way.
He
was last at the time, though still going well enough.
That
said, I would have been a little surprised if he’d managed to beat the eventual
winner, Hainan.
He
didn’t have heavy ground form – and was trying a new trip – but improved
massively for the test.
The
saver, Emperors Choice, looked a shadow of his former self and could only finish
a well beaten third…
Smad
Place was the other big tip on the day – and I think events conspired against
him.
There was standing start, to the race - and he got a
flyer and led for the first mile or so.
That
wasn’t the plan – he was supposed to be chasing Regal Regatta.
That
one did eventually get to the front – but that took away Smad Places momentum
and he faded out of contention.
Fortunately, I decided this morning to save stakes on Top
Notch – and he took advantage of the race falling apart, to record a facile
win.
I
tipped in 2 other races on the day – but didn’t get close in either…
The
ground on the hurdles track at Haydock didn’t seem quite as bad as I expected –
and they were always going a bit too fast for Le Rocher.
Templeross appeared to be sulking from very early in the
race – and is one best left alone, for the time being.
Dandridge never really featured at Ascot, with Sir
Valentino a surprising winner, from Cepage.
I’m
not sure what to make of the form – though I’ll be a little surprised if it was
particularly strong…
As
for the mentions: then Deauville Crystal clouted the very first fence and was on
the back foot from that point.
She
did well to run on and almost snatch third – and clearly has a fair amount of
ability (I just think she needs a more galloping track).
Carnspindle ran a bit of a nothing race: spending most of
her time in mid division (which is where she finished !).
She
probably needs some help from the handicapper.
At
Haydock, Cyrus Darius travelled very powerfully in the intermediate chase – in
fact, much too powerfully !
He was never going to get home – and a mistake at the third last finally sealed his fate.
He was never going to get home – and a mistake at the third last finally sealed his fate.
Back
over the minimum trip, he remains of interest…
Chti
Balko ran a nice ran until running out of steam.
He’s
another who could be of interest, with less emphasis on stamina.
As
too could Catamaran du Seuil – as he didn’t get home after travelling well to
the home turn in the finale…
The
most impressive performance of the day, was put up by Bristol de Mai, in the
Betfair chase.
I thought he would take some beating under ideal conditions – though I didn’t expect him to romp home by 57 lengths !
I thought he would take some beating under ideal conditions – though I didn’t expect him to romp home by 57 lengths !
He
absolutely destroyed some top class horses – not something you see very
often.
I
doubt he’ll repeat the performance again this season – but it was still a sight
to behold…
TVB.
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