There was no joy with todays 3 tips – though they all ran
with some credit, particularly considering their morning odds…
In
fact, all 3 ran quite similar races: prominent early – before fading when it
mattered…
First up was Our Kaempfer.
I
was a little disappointed to see him sent into the lead, as that’s not his
normal running style.
Generally, when horses wearing head gear for the first time, lead early, they don’t get home.
And that’s precisely what happened with him, as he led into the home straight, but then faded…
Generally, when horses wearing head gear for the first time, lead early, they don’t get home.
And that’s precisely what happened with him, as he led into the home straight, but then faded…
He
could be interesting next time, off an even lower mark – provided he is ridden
with more restraint.
However, he would again be a risky
proposition…
Next
it was Thebarrowman, in the Eider chase at Newcastle.
He
didn’t lead early; instead he took up a position just behind leader,
Milansbar.
In
truth, I could have no issue with the way he was ridden.
He was given every chance, if he was good enough – he just wasn’t good enough.
He was given every chance, if he was good enough – he just wasn’t good enough.
He
looked a tired horse when he fell at the fourth last, and he sadly paid the
ultimate price for his efforts.
Zeroshadesofgrey was the final tip to run.
He
was very strong in the betting, eventually being sent off the 9/2 second
favourite.
It’s possible that some of support was down to traders, who figured he was likely to get an uncontested lead.
And
that is what happened – though they presumably didn’t allow for the fact that he
was going to crash through numerous hurdles !
It
says much for his ability that he was still leading – and seemingly going well –
when he entered the home straight.
However his early efforts then took their toll and he was
beaten after jumping the second last…
With
regard to the Mentions:
Then
Bid Adieu was far too free at Kempton – and didn’t get home,
Beau
Gosse ran better in the same race – but appeared to find everything happening
too quickly.
The
race was won by Redicean – and he subsequently received a lot of praise (and a
relatively low quote for the Triumph hurdle !).
He
may ultimately prove himself a good horse – but I really don’t think that todays
race took much winning…
I
was far more impressed by Global Citizen, as he won a seemingly much stronger
Dovecote hurdle in convincing style.
He
could be a horse going places.
Shoal Bay finished in mid division and was a bit
disappointing…
Theatre Territory ran really well to finish third in
Betdaq handicap chase.
She
travelled strongly throughout – but lacked a change of gear when the pace
quickened in the home straight.
The
race was won by Master Dee, who I had marked down as the main danger.
In
truth, I could easily have tipped both horses – if at any point, I’d been able
to get decent odds.
I
managed to back them both at 12 on BF, within 5 mins of the off – but those kind
of odds weren’t available when I was able to tip.
It
was a similar story with Baywing and Hainan in the Eider chase – and it
demonstrates the importance of showing patience in the big races, and picking
off prices throughout the day…
Kayf
Blanco ran yet another really big race in the penultimate race on the Kempton
card – but was again let down by his jumping.
This
time however, it was early in the race – as he didn’t jump too badly when put
under pressure in the closing stages.
He
still spent a bit too long in the air however, and that probably cost him
victory.
He
is improving though and I would expect him to come good, sooner rather than
later…
Over
at Chepstow, Coeur Blimey was a big disappointment – so maybe we owe Tom Segal a
drink !
Finally, Eastlake was a non runner in the 2 mile chase –
leaving the relatively well backed Tornado in Milan to beat Overtown
Express.
I
wouldn’t have seen that one coming…
TVB.
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