Tuesday 3 April 2018

Review of the day

I’m starting to get the feeling that someone up there doesn’t like me !

There was no joy again with the tips today – though quite how that was the case, I’m not really sure…

I issued 4 tips across 3 races – and could easily have had 2 winners – but instead, ended up with 2 seconds !

The first tip to run, was Jetz at Fairyhouse.

My rationale for tipping him was that I wanted to take on the 3 market leaders, as they had all endured tough races at Cheltenham.

The logic was sound – but despite touching 1.24 on the run-in, Jetz was held off in a driving finish, by Pallasator (one of the others that I considered tipping).

With the benefit of hindsight, I should probably have tipped them both – but I preferred the chance of Jetz and felt he was better value (which was true – as his price had halved come the off).

Next it was Mr Antolini.

I couldn’t believe how he drifted, after I’d tipped him (out to 12 at one point on BF) – but he was back in to 5/1 at the off (which was still a very fair price)

In the race, he travelled strongly – and held every chance approaching the home turn.

However, it was at that point, fate decided he wasn’t going to win !

Whilst Jamie Bargary took him to the outside, Robbie Dunne went for a daring run up the rails on Vado Forte.
In truth there probably wasn’t sufficient room – but Dunne forced him through.

Vado Forte made a bit of a mess of the second last – but all that did was cause a knock on effect with Remilluc, which resulted in Mr Antolini becoming short of room !

It was a similar situation at the last, where Mr Antolini was slightly impeded when Remilluc unshipped his jockey.

He was gaining on Vado Forte all the way up the run-in – but the line came a bit too soon and he was still half a length shy when it was reached.

He really did have to go down as an unlucky loser…

In fairness, there was no hard luck story – or near miss – with the final 2 tips of the day, at Ffos Las.

The first time blinkers didn’t light up Bob Ford as I’d hoped – and unable to lead, he was soon in trouble.
Whilst Pobbles Bay did struggle with his big weight in the bad ground – as I feared might be the case…

As for the Mentions – then they did quite well, after a slow start…

There was no money for Dundrum Lad, so I wasn’t too surprised to see him pull up before the home straight: and whilst Dawn Shadow ran well against Laurina – she only ran well enough to finish fourth (which wasn’t good enough for anyone who got involved with her, EW).

More positively, Bel Ami de Sivola took advantage of Patricks Park under-performing and managed to hold off Bon Papa: and whilst Shattered Love was run out of it close home, Lickpenny Larry was a convincing winner at Plumpton.
What’s more, he drifted to 3/1 at the off (there was even some 7/2 around).
At that price, he could well have been a tip – but things just aren’t dropping that way at the moment…

TVB.

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